Scouting report · ACGL
Nicolas Papadopoulo
Arch lifer since 2001; ran reinsurance, then insurance; CEO since Oct 2024
—thin record
Not ranked yet
Scouting sheet
as of 24 Sep 2026Delivers guidance—0 beat · 1 met · 0 missed · 0 withdrawn — fewer than 4, not scored
Answers the question980 dodges in 46 answers on 2 calls
Capital allocation—company five-year record: compounds — inherited: the five-year record is mostly a predecessor's
Pay design8077% performance-conditioned · roe, strategic, book value, relative tsr, time only · 94.1% for · 0.33% of net income
Skin in the game76stake worth $157.6m, 11× last year's pay
- Age
- 63src
- In the role
- 2 yr
- Promises scored
- 1
- Hit rate
- 100%
- Dodges / 100 answers
- 0.0
- Airtime on calls
- 43%
Every promise, oldest firstM
What to weigh
Watch 5
- 2024 reported pay was $31.8m, driven by a one-time 'Outperformance Award' on the leadership transition: $16.1m of premium-priced options (strike $161.24) plus $6.9m of time-vested restricted sharessrc
- Say-on-pay fell to 84.7% at the 2025 meeting (93.9-95.3% in 2021-2024); the company attributes it to the one-time transition awards. It recovered to 94.1% in May 2026src
- 2025 bonus paid at the 200% maximum (financial and strategic parts both at 200%) in a year when TSR ranked 10th percentile of peers; for 2026 his bonus target rose to 270% of salary from 200% and his LTI target to 785% from 560%src
- Holds a personal $2.5m stake in Premia, an Arch-sponsored reinsurer that does business with Arch subsidiaries (disclosed, reviewed by disinterested directors)src
- Thin say-vs-do record: only one of the seven S8 rows is his (the California wildfire loss estimate, met at the top of the range); the CFO makes nearly every checkable statementsrc
Career
- 2024-10 – now
- 2021-01 – 2024-10Arch Capital Groupsrc
President and Chief Underwriting Officer; CEO of Arch Worldwide Insurance Group - 2017-09 – 2020-12Arch Capital Groupsrc
Chairman and CEO of Arch Worldwide Insurance Group; Chief Underwriting Officer for Property and Casualty Operations - 2014-07 – 2017-09
- 2001-12 – 2014-07
Undated in the sources
- Sorema N.A. Reinsurance Group (U.S. subsidiary of Groupama)src, Various positions
- French Ministry of Finance, Insurance Departmentsrc, Insurance examiner
Not located: Years before December 2001 (Sorema N.A. and the French Ministry of Finance) are named but undated in the 8-K and proxies read; the last ten years are fully sourced
Achievements
- Spent 23 years inside Arch before the top job: underwriter at Arch Re from December 2001, then head of reinsurance (2014), of insurance (2017) and President & CUO (2021)src
- Named CEO under the board's succession plan in October 2024, succeeding Marc Grandissonsrc
- Arch's GAAP net income was $4,312m in FY2024 and $4,399m in FY2025, his first full year as CEOsrc
- 2025 consolidated combined ratio 82.8%, 89th percentile of the proxy's performance peer group; TSR for the year was 10th percentilesrc
- Beneficially owns 1,659,915 shares including exercisable options and unvested performance shares (March 2026)src
Education
Background
- Family The 8-K announcing his appointment states there are no family relationships between him and any other director or executive officersrc
- Boards Sat on the board of COFACE SA (Arch is a shareholder) as an Arch nominee; stepped down in February 2025 to concentrate on his role at Arch and was replaced by another Arch executivesrc
- Service Earlier in his career was an insurance examiner at the French Ministry of Finance's Insurance Departmentsrc
- Investing Personally co-invested $2.5m for a 0.625% stake in Premia, the run-off reinsurer Arch and Kelso sponsored in 2017; Arch provides services and a quota-share treaty to it. Disclosed as a related-person transactionsrc
- Other Employment agreement (2017, amended 2024-10-13): on termination without cause or for good reason, salary for the six-month notice period plus up to 24 months (less garden leave), 200% of target bonus, a pro-rated target bonus and up to 18 months of medical coversrc
- Other Received Arch-investee board fees paid in euros ($43,081 for 2023, $26,923 for 2024), included in All Other Compensationsrc
The promise ledger
1 scored · 0 open| Result | What was promised | Where it is scored | How |
|---|---|---|---|
| M Met | Q1 2025 · California wildfires · net loss $450–550m | ACGL row 3 | said it |
Questions dodged
0.0 per 100 answersNone logged on the calls reviewed.
Calls reviewed
FY2026-Q1.roic.json— 25 answers, 41% of the wordsFY2026-Q2.roic.json— 21 answers, 44% of the words
Sources
10- Filing Arch Capital Group DEF 14A (accession 0000947484-26-000038) · 2026-03-24
- Filing Arch Capital Group DEF 14A (accession 0000947484-25-000031) · 2025-03-25
- Filing Arch Capital Group 8-K Item 5.02, CEO transition (0000947484-24-000123) · 2024-10-15
- Filing Arch Capital Group 8-K Item 5.02, Gansberg departure and single-President model (0000947484-26-000094) · 2026-06-03
- Filing Arch Capital Group 8-K Item 5.07, 2026 annual meeting results (0000947484-26-000063) · 2026-05-07
- Filing SEC XBRL companyconcept us-gaap/NetIncomeLoss, CIK 947484 (FY2025 10-K, 0000947484-26-000017) · 2026-02-26
- Filing Form 4, Nicolas Papadopoulo (reporting CIK 1345284), option exercise and sale of 2026-03-10 (0001345284-26-000005) · 2026-03-12
- Filing Form 4, Nicolas Papadopoulo, annual grant of 2026-03-03 (0001345284-26-000003) · 2026-03-05
- Call transcript ACGL Q4 2024 earnings call (2025-02-11), ROIC.ai; he gave the $450-550m wildfire estimate
- Web search result WebSearch: COFACE SA press release 2025-02-20, Yves Charbonneau co-opted to the Board replacing Nicolas Papadopoulo (search summary) · 2026-09-24